Ledger / AAPL

AAPL Apple Inc. · Technology & Semiconductors

Every AI judgment on AAPL since day one — direction, confidence, evidence, counter-argument, and how each call settled against real market prices. Append-only: nothing can be edited or deleted.

Judgments
2
5-trading-day horizon
Hit rate (hit / miss)
0 hit / 0 miss — sample forming
settled against real prices
Latest direction
bullish
58% confidence
Invalidation
A close back below 340 (filling the Nov 4 gap and losing the
condition that voids the call

Latest judgment

bullish 58% confidence · data through 2026-11-04 · settles 2026-11-12.

Sharp two-day dip to ~325 (Oct 30–Nov 3) was reversed violently on Nov 4 with a high-volume +5.3% close at 349.5, reclaiming the prior 344-349 range and forming a bullish reversal/outside-day pattern. Volume expansion (88.8M) confirms buyers absorbed the selloff. Expect follow-through toward 351-354 resistance over the next 5 sessions, though the failed breakout at 354.5 caps conviction.

Invalidation: A close back below 340 (filling the Nov 4 gap and losing the reversal low zone) would void the bullish reversal thesis.

Judgment history

  • bullish 58% · decided 2026-11-03 → settles 2026-11-11 · pending
    AAPL grinds higher over the last two weeks, printing a higher-low/higher-high sequence and closing near the top of the range at 217.47 after tagging 221.25. Trend structure and rising closes favor modest upside continuation over the next 5 sessions, though the rejection off 221 and thin volume on the breakout bar temper conviction.
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