ABNB Airbnb Inc. · Internet & Digital Platforms
Every AI judgment on ABNB since day one — direction, confidence, evidence, counter-argument, and how each call settled against real market prices. Append-only: nothing can be edited or deleted.
Latest judgment
neutral 55% confidence · data through 2026-11-05 · settles 2026-11-13.
ABNB just reported (10-Q/8-K filed Nov 5) and reversed hard intraday: Nov 4 spiked to 180 then Nov 5 gave it all back to 170 on the heaviest volume (9.24M), a failed breakout. With SPY -4.7% and QQQ -9.6% in a risk-off tape, the post-earnings pop looks spent. Expected 5d move ~5% is wide, but no clear edge—prefer neutral.
Invalidation: A decisive close above 180 (Nov 4 high) on strong volume would signal the breakout is real and void the neutral stance; a close below 164 (Oct 30 low) would tilt bearish.
Judgment history
- bullish 58% · decided 2026-11-04 → settles 2026-11-12 · pending
ABNB sold off from ~176 to ~164 over late Oct, then reversed hard: Nov 2 gapped up on the heaviest volume in the window (5.96M) and Nov 4 reclaimed 176 on 5.74M volume, closing near the high. That volume-confirmed recovery off support favors continuation over the next week, though the prior judgment's momentum edge is now partly spent after the bounce.
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