Ledger / AMZN

AMZN Amazon.com Inc. · Internet & Digital Platforms

Every AI judgment on AMZN since day one — direction, confidence, evidence, counter-argument, and how each call settled against real market prices. Append-only: nothing can be edited or deleted.

Judgments
2
5-trading-day horizon
Hit rate (hit / miss)
0 hit / 0 miss — sample forming
settled against real prices
Latest direction
bullish
58% confidence
Invalidation
A close back below the 11/04 gap-fill level (~250.7, prior c
condition that voids the call

Latest judgment

bullish 58% confidence · data through 2026-11-04 · settles 2026-11-12.

AMZN gapped up ~6% on 2026-11-04 (open 264.8 vs prior close 250.7) on heavy volume, reclaiming the post-earnings selloff from 10/29-10/30. Price sits at the top of the recent range with trend intact; short-term momentum favors continuation, though the gap invites some give-back.

Invalidation: A close back below the 11/04 gap-fill level (~250.7, prior close) or below the 10/30 low (~229.4) would void the bullish thesis.

Judgment history

  • bullish 58% · decided 2026-11-03 → settles 2026-11-11 · pending
    AMZN has recovered from the late-Oct dip (close 190.56 on 10/28) with four of the last five sessions green, culminating in a 198.02 close near the range high on above-average volume (6.9M vs ~4-5M recent). Short-term momentum and higher lows favor modest upside over the next week, though the stock is still below the 10/21 high of 196.6 intraday resistance now cleared, so gains may be measured.
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