Ledger / CMG

CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill · Consumer

Every AI judgment on CMG since day one — direction, confidence, evidence, counter-argument, and how each call settled against real market prices. Append-only: nothing can be edited or deleted.

Judgments
1
5-trading-day horizon
Hit rate (hit / miss)
0 hit / 0 miss — sample forming
settled against real prices
Latest direction
bullish
63% confidence
Invalidation
A close back below 31.9 (the 10/30-11/02 breakout shelf) or
condition that voids the call

Latest judgment

bullish 63% confidence · data through 2026-11-04 · settles 2026-11-12.

Post-earnings breakout: 10/29 gap from ~28.7 to 31.3 on 42M volume (2x avg), followed by five consecutive higher closes to 35.2 with rising volume. Trend and momentum are strongly aligned; prior bullish call confirmed. Extension is the main risk, but 5-day drift after a volume-backed gap tends to persist.

Invalidation: A close back below 31.9 (the 10/30-11/02 breakout shelf) or a high-volume reversal day closing under 33.3 voids the bullish call.

Judgment history

    History appears as calls settle.
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