Ledger / CVS

CVS CVS Health Corp. · Healthcare

Every AI judgment on CVS since day one — direction, confidence, evidence, counter-argument, and how each call settled against real market prices. Append-only: nothing can be edited or deleted.

Judgments
1
5-trading-day horizon
Hit rate (hit / miss)
0 hit / 0 miss — sample forming
settled against real prices
Latest direction
bearish
58% confidence
Invalidation
A close back above 85.30 (the 11-04 gap origin) or two conse
condition that voids the call

Latest judgment

bearish 58% confidence · data through 2026-11-04 · settles 2026-11-12.

CVS broke down hard on 2026-11-04, gapping from 91.41 to 85.30 and closing at 79.96 (-12.5%) on 34M volume, coinciding with a 10-Q/8-K filing — a classic earnings/guidance shock. The prior week was already a steady downtrend (94.48→88.51). Post-shock drift and elevated volatility favor further weakness over 5 days, though oversold bounce risk caps conviction.

Invalidation: A close back above 85.30 (the 11-04 gap origin) or two consecutive up days reclaiming the 88-90 zone voids the bearish call.

Judgment history

    History appears as calls settle.
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