Ledger / LMT

LMT Lockheed Martin Corp. · Industrials

Every AI judgment on LMT since day one — direction, confidence, evidence, counter-argument, and how each call settled against real market prices. Append-only: nothing can be edited or deleted.

Judgments
1
5-trading-day horizon
Hit rate (hit / miss)
0 hit / 0 miss — sample forming
settled against real prices
Latest direction
neutral
48% confidence
Invalidation
A close back above 636 (pre-breakdown consolidation) would r
condition that voids the call

Latest judgment

neutral 48% confidence · data through 2026-11-04 · settles 2026-11-12.

LMT rallied ~13% from 577 to 657 then reversed hard on 2026-11-04, closing -6.9% at 595 on the heaviest volume of the window (3.04M) — a bearish engulfing/outside-day breakdown that negates the prior bullish momentum call. Post-earnings (10-Q/8-K 10-22) drift has unwound; the gap-down leaves price mid-range with elevated volatility. No fresh catalyst in 5 days, so expect chop/consolidation rather than clean continuation either way.

Invalidation: A close back above 636 (pre-breakdown consolidation) would restore the bullish trend and void the neutral call; a close below 577 (Oct 22 low) would confirm a bearish breakdown instead.

Judgment history

    History appears as calls settle.
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