MSFT Microsoft Corp. · Technology & Semiconductors
Every AI judgment on MSFT since day one — direction, confidence, evidence, counter-argument, and how each call settled against real market prices. Append-only: nothing can be edited or deleted.
Latest judgment
bullish 63% confidence · data through 2026-11-04 · settles 2026-11-12.
MSFT broke out on 2026-11-04, gapping from ~521 to close 555.8 on the heaviest volume in the window (~50.6M), fully reversing the 11-02 dip to 507. The prior bullish call is confirmed; trend and momentum now align with a volume-confirmed breakout. Near-term drift likely continues, though the single-day spike raises pullback risk.
Invalidation: A close back below ~521 (the 11-03 close / pre-breakout base) or a full retrace of the 11-04 gap on rising volume voids this call.
Judgment history
- neutral 55% · decided 2026-11-03 → settles 2026-11-11 · pending
MSFT sold off hard from ~535 to 505 on heavy volume (Oct 29–Nov 2), then bounced to 521 on lighter volume. The prior bearish trend factor is intact but momentum is flattening and RSI is recovering, so near-term edge is weak. No filings to shift the picture; expect choppy consolidation between ~505 and ~525 over the next five sessions. - bearish 58% · decided 2026-11-03 → settles 2026-11-11 · pending
MSFT is in a persistent, orderly downtrend: ten straight sessions of lower closes and lower highs, sliding from ~354 to ~337.6 on steady volume with no capitulation or reversal bar. Momentum and trend-following logic favor continuation over 5 days, though the absence of news/filings and the modest volume taper keep conviction moderate rather than high.
Full interactive timeline with candlestick chart is loading below.