Ledger / MSTR

MSTR MicroStrategy Inc. · Technology & Semiconductors

Every AI judgment on MSTR since day one — direction, confidence, evidence, counter-argument, and how each call settled against real market prices. Append-only: nothing can be edited or deleted.

Judgments
1
5-trading-day horizon
Hit rate (hit / miss)
0 hit / 0 miss — sample forming
settled against real prices
Latest direction
bullish
55% confidence
Invalidation
A close back below 135 (11/3 low area) or a failure that rev
condition that voids the call

Latest judgment

bullish 55% confidence · data through 2026-11-04 · settles 2026-11-12.

MSTR sold off hard 10/30 (gap to 124, 34M volume) then built a three-session base and reclaimed 142.5 on 11/4 with rising volume, closing near the day's high. That looks like capitulation followed by accumulation, and the stock is now back above the pre-breakdown 141-142 shelf. As a high-beta BTC proxy, a short-term bounce continuation is plausible, though confidence stays modest given the recent damage and heavy filing flow.

Invalidation: A close back below 135 (11/3 low area) or a failure that reverses 11/4's gains and breaks 130 would void the bounce thesis.

Judgment history

    History appears as calls settle.
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