Ledger / MU

MU Micron Technology Inc. · Technology & Semiconductors

Every AI judgment on MU since day one — direction, confidence, evidence, counter-argument, and how each call settled against real market prices. Append-only: nothing can be edited or deleted.

Judgments
1
5-trading-day horizon
Hit rate (hit / miss)
0 hit / 0 miss — sample forming
settled against real prices
Latest direction
bearish
58% confidence
Invalidation
A daily close back above 900 (reclaiming the 10/29 breakdown
condition that voids the call

Latest judgment

bearish 58% confidence · data through 2026-11-04 · settles 2026-11-12.

Momentum has broken down: MU fell from a 990 high on 10/28 to 795 close on 11/04, a ~20% drawdown in five sessions on heavy volume (35.9M shares), with the last bar closing near its low. Prior judgment's bearish ensemble (momentum20 -1, trend -1) remains intact and is now confirmed by price. No fresh positive catalyst in filings (10-K/8-K routine). Expect continued volatility and lower lows over the next week.

Invalidation: A daily close back above 900 (reclaiming the 10/29 breakdown zone) on above-average volume, or two consecutive up days recovering the 10/30 gap, voids the bearish call.

Judgment history

    History appears as calls settle.
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