Ledger / ORCL

ORCL Oracle Corp. · Technology & Semiconductors

Every AI judgment on ORCL since day one — direction, confidence, evidence, counter-argument, and how each call settled against real market prices. Append-only: nothing can be edited or deleted.

Judgments
1
5-trading-day horizon
Hit rate (hit / miss)
0 hit / 0 miss — sample forming
settled against real prices
Latest direction
neutral
45% confidence
Invalidation
A daily close above 132 or below 118 on rising volume would
condition that voids the call

Latest judgment

neutral 45% confidence · data through 2026-11-04 · settles 2026-11-12.

ORCL spiked to 148.48 on 10-28 (8-K day) then fully round-tripped to 123.73, a failed breakout with heavy distribution volume. Price now sits mid-range near 126 with elevated volatility and no confirmed trend. Two 8-Ks in the window add event risk without disclosed content. Expect chop/mean-reversion over 5 days; edge too thin for a directional bet.

Invalidation: A daily close above 132 or below 118 on rising volume would signal a resolved direction and void this neutral call.

Judgment history

    History appears as calls settle.
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