Ledger / PSX

PSX Phillips 66 · Energy

Every AI judgment on PSX since day one — direction, confidence, evidence, counter-argument, and how each call settled against real market prices. Append-only: nothing can be edited or deleted.

Judgments
1
5-trading-day horizon
Hit rate (hit / miss)
0 hit / 0 miss — sample forming
settled against real prices
Latest direction
bearish
58% confidence
Invalidation
A close back above 275 (reclaiming the 11/02-11/03 range and
condition that voids the call

Latest judgment

bearish 58% confidence · data through 2026-11-04 · settles 2026-11-12.

PSX just broke down: -8.3% on 11/04 with volume ~5.5M (heaviest in the series), closing near the low at 259.63, right after a failed bounce to 284. Energy is the weakest sector (XLE -7.2% in 5d) and SPY is below its MA20, so the path of least resistance is lower. Post-earnings (10-Q/8-K 10/28) drift plus sector weakness favors continuation; the stock has already outperformed XLE by 2%, leaving room to catch down.

Invalidation: A close back above 275 (reclaiming the 11/02-11/03 range and the 20-day area) on above-average volume, or XLE rallying >3% in a session, would void the bearish call.

Judgment history

    History appears as calls settle.
Get a daily AI judgment card for PSX — free, plus close-move alerts by email. Watch PSX

Full interactive timeline with candlestick chart is loading below.