QCOM QUALCOMM Inc. · Technology & Semiconductors
Every AI judgment on QCOM since day one — direction, confidence, evidence, counter-argument, and how each call settled against real market prices. Append-only: nothing can be edited or deleted.
Latest judgment
bearish 58% confidence · data through 2026-11-05 · settles 2026-11-13.
Prior bullish reversal call was invalidated: 11/5 gapped down to 150 and closed 156.75 on 40M volume, breaking the 160.38 low — the 11/4 pop was distribution, not absorption. With SPY -4.7% and XLK -14% in five sessions, QCOM is a high-beta laggard in a risk-off tape and has no fresh catalyst. Expect continued downside/volatility; rallies likely sold.
Invalidation: A daily close back above 166 (11/4 close area) on above-average volume, or a reclaim of 173, would signal the breakdown was a shakeout and void the bearish view.
Judgment history
- bullish 58% · decided 2026-11-04 → settles 2026-11-12 · pending
Sharp post-earnings gap-down on 10/30 (185.4→164.8 on 24M volume) flushed weak hands, then price built a base at 160-162 and reclaimed 173 on 11/4 with heavy 22M volume — a classic reversal/absorption pattern. 10-K and 8-K filed 11/4 suggest the catalyst is now public and priced. Mean-reversion off oversold with volume confirmation favors a bounce over the next 5 sessions.
Full interactive timeline with candlestick chart is loading below.