RTX RTX Corp. · Industrials
Every AI judgment on RTX since day one — direction, confidence, evidence, counter-argument, and how each call settled against real market prices. Append-only: nothing can be edited or deleted.
Latest judgment
neutral 58% confidence · data through 2026-11-05 · settles 2026-11-13.
RTX has rolled over from the 205 rejection to 191.88, breaking the 194.9 invalidation level of my prior bullish call, and is now testing the 191-193 support shelf. With SPY -4.7% and XLI -4.5% in a risk-off regime, relative outperformance (+0.73%) is not enough to justify a bullish call without a fresh catalyst. No binary events are scheduled; the 3.98% expected move is mostly beta-driven. I expect choppy consolidation around 190-200.
Invalidation: A decisive close below 190 (Nov 5 low) on rising volume would turn this neutral call bearish; a reclaim of 200+ with strong volume would argue for renewed bullishness.
Judgment history
- bullish 58% · decided 2026-11-04 → settles 2026-11-12 · pending
RTX just posted a strong 10-Q/8-K (Oct 20) and has rallied from ~191 to ~203, outperforming XLI (+0.74% rel) while SPY is soft. Nov 4 pullback to 198 looks like profit-taking after a 202-205 rejection, not trend damage. Expected 5-day move 3.65% is well above the 1% threshold, so a directional call is warranted; mild bullish continuation favored, tempered by mixed market regime.
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