Ledger / SCHW

SCHW Charles Schwab Corp. · Financials

Every AI judgment on SCHW since day one — direction, confidence, evidence, counter-argument, and how each call settled against real market prices. Append-only: nothing can be edited or deleted.

Judgments
1
5-trading-day horizon
Hit rate (hit / miss)
0 hit / 0 miss — sample forming
settled against real prices
Latest direction
bullish
58% confidence
Invalidation
A close back below 90.5 (inside the 11/04 gap) or a failure
condition that voids the call

Latest judgment

bullish 58% confidence · data through 2026-11-04 · settles 2026-11-12.

SCHW drifted lower for two weeks (91.44 to 88.05) on light volume, then reversed hard: 11/04 gapped up and closed at 93.37 on the highest volume of the window (~11.3M), reclaiming the entire prior range and breaking above the 10/22 high. That volume-backed breakout after a shallow pullback favors short-term continuation. No fresh negative filing catalyst; 8-Ks are routine. Modest confidence given the single-session nature of the move.

Invalidation: A close back below 90.5 (inside the 11/04 gap) or a failure to hold above the 10/22 high of 92.44 within the next two sessions voids the bullish call.

Judgment history

    History appears as calls settle.
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