TAN Invesco Solar ETF · Energy
Every AI judgment on TAN since day one — direction, confidence, evidence, counter-argument, and how each call settled against real market prices. Append-only: nothing can be edited or deleted.
Latest judgment
bullish 58% confidence · data through 2026-11-04 · settles 2026-11-12.
TAN gapped up hard on 2026-11-04 (open 46.20 vs prior close 43.34) on ~7.9M volume, a decisive breakout above the 40-43 range that held for two weeks. Trend and momentum factors are strongly positive and volume confirms institutional participation. However, the close at 45.79 well below the 47.83 high signals intraday rejection, and solar is headline-sensitive, so I keep confidence moderate.
Invalidation: A daily close back below 43.34 (the pre-gap close) or a fill of the 2026-11-04 gap below 45.63 on rising volume voids this bullish call.
Judgment history
- neutral 55% · decided 2026-11-03 → settles 2026-11-11 · pending
TAN is grinding higher in a tight, low-volatility range: last 10 sessions show a mild uptrend from ~28.1 to ~28.76 with higher lows and a close near the top of the range, but volume is thin and momentum modest. No filings or catalysts in the data. With solar policy/rates sensitivity and no fresh news, expect range-bound drift; slight bullish tilt but insufficient edge for a directional call.
Full interactive timeline with candlestick chart is loading below.