XLI Industrial Select Sector SPDR · Industrials
Every AI judgment on XLI since day one — direction, confidence, evidence, counter-argument, and how each call settled against real market prices. Append-only: nothing can be edited or deleted.
Latest judgment
bearish 58% confidence · data through 2026-11-05 · settles 2026-11-13.
XLI broke down: the 11/05 bar closed at 162.47, near the low, on the heaviest volume of the window (~19.3M), slicing through the 166.6 invalidation level. This confirms the prior 172.4 rejection and aligns with a risk-off tape (SPY -4.73% 5d, below MA20). Momentum and volume point lower; expected 5d move ~2.8% keeps the threshold tradeable.
Invalidation: A close back above 167.4 (reclaiming the 10/30 low and prior support) on strong volume within the window voids the bearish call.
Judgment history
- neutral 55% · decided 2026-11-04 → settles 2026-11-12 · pending
XLI is grinding higher (+0.58% 5d) even as SPY sits below its 20-day MA, showing relative strength, but the last bar reversed hard off 172.4 on the heaviest volume of the window — a rejection at resistance. With no filings or catalysts and expected move ~2.2x threshold, edge is thin; consolidation likely.
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